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PARR Stock Draws Bullish Targets As Leadership Shifts

ELLIS HOBBS•UPDATED OCT. 13, 2026, 4:47 PM ET
Reviewed by Matt Monacoand Fact-checked by Bryce Tuohey

Par Pacific Holdings Inc. stocks have been trading up by 10.24 percent amid bullish sentiment on refining margin improvements.

Key Takeaways

  • Raymond James lifted its target on Par Pacific to $104 and kept an Outperform rating, flagging stronger upside expectations for PARR.
  • TD Cowen trimmed its PARR target to $90 but stayed Buy-rated, framing the move as a sector-wide refining reset ahead of Q3 earnings.
  • Mizuho downgraded Par Pacific Holdings to Neutral with a $91 target, while FactSet still shows an overall Overweight view and $86.71 mean target.
  • Leadership of PARR’s refining and logistics arm is transitioning to Valero veteran Jerry Stumbo, with Richard Creamer staying on as Senior Advisor into 2027.
  • Insider filings show both fresh beneficial ownership in PARR and modest share sales, keeping ownership trends on active traders’ radar.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update At 16:46:57 EDT: On Tuesday, October 13, 2026 Par Pacific Holdings Inc. stock [NYSE: PARR] is trending up by 10.24%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

Quick Financial Overview

PARR has been grinding higher on the chart, and the numbers behind Par Pacific Holdings help explain why traders are paying attention. Over the last several weeks, PARR has run from the high‑$70s to a recent close near $89.88, holding most pullbacks and repeatedly bouncing off the low‑$80s. That price action lines up with a business throwing off strong cash and earnings.

Par Pacific generated roughly $7.46B in revenue over the trailing period, with revenue per share near $149. For traders, the bigger story is profitability. An EBIT margin of 13.6% and profit margins near 10% are strong for a refiner, and management is extracting solid returns: return on equity is above 36%, with return on assets above 10%. PARR trades at about 4.78 times earnings and only 0.48 times sales, with price‑to‑cash‑flow around 3.6, which value‑focused traders will notice.

More Breaking News

On the balance sheet, total debt to equity of 0.57 and an interest coverage ratio above 19 show Par Pacific is not stretched. A current ratio of 1.8 and working capital above $1.12B give PARR room to ride refining cycles. Overall, the fundamentals back up the recent technical strength traders are seeing on the daily and intraday charts.

Why Traders Are Watching PARR Right Now

PARR is sitting in that sweet spot where fundamentals, Wall Street views, and a leadership story all collide. Raymond James kicked things off by raising its price target on Par Pacific from $90 to $104, sticking with an Outperform rating. For momentum traders, that triple‑digit target matters. It signals one major shop thinks PARR’s rally still has room to run.

TD Cowen took a more nuanced tack. The firm lowered its Par Pacific target from $95 to $90 but kept a Buy rating, framing the shift as part of a refining “reset” ahead of Q3 2026 earnings. The message to traders is clear: near‑term sector pressure is real, but Cowen still expects crack spreads to normalize higher into 2028. That supports a multi‑year earnings arc for PARR instead of a quick one‑and‑done spike.

Balancing that optimism, Mizuho downgraded Par Pacific Holdings from Outperform to Neutral, yet pinned its target at $91. When a downgrade comes with a target still above the current quote, traders read it as “slow down, don’t exit.” FactSet data back that up, showing PARR sitting with an average Overweight rating and a mean price target of $86.71, not far below where the stock trades.

Beyond the models, the story on the ground at Par Pacific is shifting. The company named Valero veteran Jerry Stumbo as Executive Vice President of Refining and Logistics, while outgoing EVP Richard Creamer moves into a Senior Advisor role until his retirement in 2027/04/01. For a refiner, this is the engine room. Traders who follow PARR know operational execution in refining and logistics can swing margins fast, so Stumbo’s experience is a real catalyst to track.

Layer on the coming Q3 2026 earnings release and conference call, plus active insider filings — a senior VP selling 3,815 shares while still holding 31,298, a new Form 3 beneficial owner, and another Form 4 change — and you have a name packed with catalysts, sentiment shifts, and technical momentum.

Conclusion

For active traders, PARR is not a quiet energy side note. Par Pacific Holdings shows a mix of strong profitability, reasonable leverage, and a stock that has already pushed from the $70s into the high‑$80s, yet still sits below the most bullish target of $104 from Raymond James. The fact that TD Cowen remains Buy‑rated at $90 and Mizuho’s Neutral call still comes with a $91 target tells you this is more about fine‑tuning expectations than abandoning the story.

The leadership handoff in refining and logistics to Jerry Stumbo adds another layer. If he can translate his Valero background into smoother operations and better margins at Par Pacific, PARR’s already healthy returns on capital may improve further. At the same time, insider sales and new ownership filings remind traders to stay data‑driven rather than emotional. None of those filings, on their own, scream “trend change,” but they are part of the tape.

Heading into the Q3 2026 earnings call, PARR traders will be laser‑focused on crack spreads, cash flow, and any commentary on future capital allocation. As Tim Sykes loves to say, “Patterns repeat, but only for traders who study them relentlessly.” In that same spirit of disciplined trading, and as millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes, says, “Cut losses quickly, let profits ride, and don’t overtrade.”. For Par Pacific Holdings, the pattern right now is a fundamentally solid refiner attracting bullish targets, cautious downgrades, and fresh leadership — a setup that rewards traders who plan their trades, manage risk, and react to the numbers, not the noise.

This is stock news, not investment advice. Timothy Sykes News delivers real-time stock market news focused on key catalysts driving short-term price movements. Our content is tailored for active traders and investors seeking to capitalize on rapid price fluctuations, particularly in volatile sectors like penny stocks. Readers come to us for detailed coverage on earnings reports, mergers, FDA approvals, new contracts, and unusual trading volumes that can trigger significant short-term price action. Some users utilize our news to explain sudden stock movements, while others rely on it for diligent research into potential investment opportunities.

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The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

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Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”